NUMBER OF GROUPS AVERAGED VS. A GOAL

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  • Last Post 05 April 2017
joeb33050 posted this 04 April 2017

If we have a group size average GOAL, say .5, are 4 or 5 group sizes, averaged, more likely to meet the goal? Should we shoot 4 groups, or 5?

The variables are n = number of groups averaged, and the long term accuracy, LTA, of the gun/shooter/etc.

Inaccurate guns sometimes shoot small groups, accurate guns sometimes shoot big groups.

A combo with LTA of .1 will (almost) never average over .5; a combo with LTA of 3.0 will (almost) never average under .5.

Combos with LTA < GOAL shoot fewer averages > GOAL with n = 5.

Combos with LTA > GOAL shoot fewer averages > GOAL with n = 4.

I can't figure out how to put the EXCEL workbook that solves for any sets of n and LTA here, email [email protected] for a copy. It solves for standard deviation, and requires NO statistics knowledge to use.

joe b.

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lotech posted this 05 April 2017

I don't know anything about EXCEL. Sounds like that's a different problem altogether.

As for shooting groups with rifles, I'm always reminded of the procedure used in AMERICAN RIFLEMAN reviews. Despite the overall significant deterioration of the publication, they continue to have the best method for evaluating rifle accuracy: five, five-shot groups fired from a benchrest at one hundred yards. No allowances are made for weight / contour of barrels or other factors, and that's as it should be. The information tells reader a lot, far more than a lesser number of groups, or groups with fewer shots.  

 

 

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